From the beginning of this pandemic I've had very accurate predictions of COVID surge, lull, and fall from two kinds of people - PHC medical officers and lab managers.
The PHC medical officers see anywhere upwards of 200 sick people per day and they get to see how many people are coming in with COVID like symptoms and notice patterns before they are even tested.
The lab managers keep a track of test positivity rate (and test rate) and can sense that it is getting overwhelming vs underwhelming.
The only kind of people who haven't particularly been helpful are the people who draw graphs based on numbers from government sources.
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